MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 03:08:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
1 - 2
Worthing

Lewis (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cashman (77', 82')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Chesham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Aveley win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
AveleyDrawWorthing
31.74% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 24.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 43.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44.88% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.98% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (0.048999999999999 0.05)62.32% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)53.22% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 31.74%
    Worthing 43.67%
    Draw 24.59%
AveleyDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.74%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Aveley vs Worthing

Aveley
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Worthing
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Worthing
2-1
Aveley
Cashman (41' pen.), Smith (90+2')
Coleman De-Graft (47')
Kawa (24'), Uche (39'), Kabongolo (88'), Bloedorn (90+2'), Owen (90+7')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Aveley
0-3
Worthing

Kelly (90')
Willard (41'), Pearce (68', 90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Worthing
1-2
Aveley
Luque (60')
Benton (17'), Vaz (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Worthing442591072561684
2Truro CityTruro City442411968402883
3Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd442314766412583
4Dorking WanderersDorking442313886533382
5Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne442313866432382
6Boreham WoodBoreham Wood442481279463380
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone442114967353277
8Weston-super-MareWeston4420121264501472
9Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.441711166370-762
10AFC HornchurchHornchurch441514155354-159
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels441611175054-459
12Farnborough TownFarnborough44178195964-559
13Chesham UnitedChesham441611175967-859
14Chelmsford CityChelmsford City441414166360356
15Bath City441511184545056
16Chippenham TownChippenham44168205665-956
17Slough TownSlough441312196673-751
18Hampton & RichmondHampton44149215865-751
19Enfield Town44139224779-3248
20Salisbury441015195567-1245
21St Albans CitySt Albans City44818184459-1542
22Welling UnitedWelling United44107274585-4037
23Weymouth44615234268-2633
24Aveley4487294377-3431


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!