Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
