Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match.
