Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
