Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
