Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.