Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Changchun Yatai.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.