Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
