Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.