Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.