Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.84%) and 0-3 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.98%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 20.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Netherlands in this match.