Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.75%) and 1-2 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.