Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Allianz Arena

Romania
vs.
Ukraine

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro 2024 clash between Romania and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ukraine could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 clash with Romania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 0-0 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Ukraine

All competitions

Last Game: Moldova 0-4 Ukraine
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

As Ukraine clearly pack more punch up front, a tight contest should swing their way and result in three precious points. Romania managed to stay undefeated during qualifying, but a distinct lack of firepower means their dismal record at the Euros could continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Romania win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw has a probability of 27.1% and a win for Ukraine has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Ukraine win it is 0-1 (8.91%).

Result
Romania	Draw	Ukraine
48.91% ( 0.57)	27.09% ( -0.12)	23.99% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 44.93% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.77% (

0.08)

59.23% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.35% (

0.06)

79.65% (

-0.07)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

0.31)

24.34% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.26% (

0.43)

58.74% (

-0.43)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.39% (

-0.38)

40.61% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

-0.34)

77.2% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Romania 48.9%

Ukraine 23.99%

Draw 27.09%

Romania	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 13.96% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.9%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.99%