Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Belgium
vs.
Slovakia

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Belgium could line up in their opening Euro 2024 fixture with Slovakia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 Wales
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovakia are certainly capable of making this a tough match for Belgium, and it would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Monday. However, we believe that Belgium's superior attacking quality will allow them to open their tournament with a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Slovakia has a probability of 24.41% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Slovakia win is 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
Belgium	Draw	Slovakia
52.28% ( 0.67)	23.31% ( -0.18)	24.41% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.99% (

0.33)

44.01% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61% (

0.32)

66.39% (

-0.32)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15% (

0.37)

16.85% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.15% (

0.65)

46.85% (

-0.65)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.23)

31.84% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

-0.26)

68.28% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Belgium 52.28%

Slovakia 24.41%

Draw 23.3%

Belgium	Draw	Slovakia
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.28%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.41%