MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 17:36:54| >> :60:19:19:
France national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de France
Germany national football team

France
vs.
Germany

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between France and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Greece 2-2 France
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Germany
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We say: France 3-1 Germany

With several veterans expelled from the Germany ranks and Nagelsmann still tinkering with his preferred setup, Die Mannschaft could have rather the experimental feel about them this week, which should not be a recipe for success against a settled France. Even without the Griezmann glue holding them together, Deschamps's side ought to make the most of Germany's current predicament and lay down a serious marker ahead of Euro 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw has a probability of 23.4% and a win for Germany has a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Germany win it is 0-1 (6.24%).

Result
FranceDrawGermany
53.69% (0.655 0.66) 23.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 22.93% (-0.695 -0.7)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.996 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.918 -0.92)45.86% (0.927 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.878 -0.88)68.17% (0.88499999999999 0.88)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)17.01% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.174 -0.17)47.14% (0.182 0.18)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-1.119 -1.12)34.14% (1.127 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-1.223 -1.22)70.83% (1.231 1.23)
Score Analysis
    France 53.68%
    Germany 22.93%
    Draw 23.38%
FranceDrawGermany
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.359 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.294 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.226 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 22.93%

Who will win Saturday's friendly clash between France and Germany?

France
Draw
Germany
France
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Germany
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 8pm
Friendlies 1
Germany
2-1
France
Muller (4'), Sane (87')
Gross (41'), Rudiger (55')
Griezmann (89' pen.)
Jun 15, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
France
1-0
Germany
Hummels (20' og.)

Kimmich (7')
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Germany
0-0
France
Rudiger (88')
Nov 14, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
2-2
France
Werner (56'), Stindl (90')
Wagner (87')
Lacazette (34', 71')
rhs 2.0
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