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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester City logo
Newcastle
1 - 0
Man City
Isak (53')
Guimaraes (69'), Tonali (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akanji (65'), Phillips (66'), Guardiola (78')
The Match
Match Report
Alexander Isak nets a second-half winner as Newcastle United condemn Manchester City to a third-round exit in the EFL Cup.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup showdown with Newcastle at St James' Park.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Newcastle United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-8 Newcastle
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Manchester City

All competitions
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
28.64% (-0.243 -0.24) 24.38% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 46.99% (0.205 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (-0.322 -0.32)45.47% (0.326 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (-0.308 -0.31)67.81% (0.313 0.31)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)29.36% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (-0.414 -0.41)65.34% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)19.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)51.31% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 28.64%
    Manchester City 46.99%
    Draw 24.38%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle United
22.2%
Draw
9.5%
Manchester City
68.3%
189
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Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
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1-0
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Alvarez (31')
Alvarez (46')

Gordon (23'), Tonali (34'), Joelinton (53'), Barnes (58'), Guimaraes (71')
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
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> Match Report
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> Preview
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De Bruyne (75')

Guimaraes (31'), Burn (70'), Targett (89')
> Preview
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Dias (5'), Cancelo (27'), Mahrez (63'), Sterling (86')
Rodri (25'), Silva (30')
> Preview
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2Manchester CityMan City20134348232543
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs20123542291339
6West Ham UnitedWest Ham2010463330334
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8Chelsea219483531431
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd2010192227-531
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2192104132929
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12Bournemouth197482835-725
13Fulham2173112836-824
14Crystal Palace205692229-721
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2055102435-1120
16Brentford1954102631-519
17Everton2082102428-416
18Luton TownLuton2044122438-1416
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