

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 44.57% ( | 24.1% ( | 31.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( | 42.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( | 65.21% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( | 19.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 48.78% ( | 51.22% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( | 26.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 38.67% ( | 61.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 3-1 @ 5% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
