Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.