Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 78.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.