While Plymouth will be looking to pick up where they dropped off in the first round, they face the daunting challenge of a well-drilled Crystal Palace side who have been solid this season. Hodgson's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will build on the positives from Saturday's draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
