Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 33.05% | 26.31% | 40.64% |
| Both teams to score 52.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% | 51.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% | 73.69% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% | 25.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.09% | 59.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 71 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 48 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Getafe | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 13 |
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