MX23RW : Sunday, April 13 00:58:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 2
Chester

Carr (26'), Horbury (34'), Ellis (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Peers (14', 21')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 3-2 Chorley
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Needham Market
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawChester FC
38.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 26.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 35.02% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.022999999999996 0.02)53.65% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.02 0.02)75.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.32% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (0.033999999999992 0.03)29.2% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)65.14% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 38.17%
    Chester FC 35.02%
    Draw 26.81%
ChorleyDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.02%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Chester
2-1
Chorley
Peers (22'), Burke (70')
Roberts (61'), Hugill (90+1')
Carr (85')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Chorley
0-2
Chester
Peers (5', 38')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chorley
2-2
Chester
Hall (51'), Sampson (87')
Thomas (16'), Stephenson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe432412770294184
2Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster432581078334583
3Brackley Town432651267422583
4Chester FCChester432212967442378
5Chorley4320131066471973
6Hereford UnitedHereford4321101264451973
7King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn432110125042873
8Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton432191355401572
9Buxton432251671492271
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4319121272492369
11Darlington431714125751665
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports431611165251159
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath431511176156556
14Leamington FCLeamington43159195150154
15Alfreton TownAlfreton431412175056-654
16South Shields43165225866-853
17Marine AFC431410193954-1552
18Oxford CityOxford City431214175571-1650
19SouthportSouthport431213184156-1549
20RadcliffeRadcliffe431211205368-1547
21Needham Market43109244370-2739
22Rushall Olympic4398263988-4935
23Warrington Town43612253467-3330
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic43753134103-6926


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