Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
St Etienne0 - 2Rennes
We said: Saint-Etienne 0-1 Rennes
After a win last weekend, adding more talent to the squad should provide results for a club who have taken a huge gamble in the transfer market, and Rennes will enter this fixture as slight favourites, despite their horrendous away form. Saint-Etienne know they can move back out of the bottom three with victory here, and it would also mark their 50th win over Rennes, but they have failed to pick up three points in any of their last eight Ligue 1 home games against their upcoming opponents, last winning in 2012. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
27.28% ( -0.18) | 24.17% ( -0.07) | 48.55% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
