MX23RW : Friday, March 7 01:38:14| >> :600:8480634:8480634:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
3 - 2
Millonarios

Sagredo (3'), da Costa (10'), Savio (34')
Savio (38'), da Costa (75')
Rocha (25')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Castro (45+1', 72' pen.)
Pablo Vargas (15'), Castro (38')
Alfonzo (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Palestino 0-4 Bolivar
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawMillonarios
55.7% (-0.052 -0.05) 22.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.56% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (0.083999999999996 0.08)44.63% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.081000000000003 0.08)67% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (0.013000000000005 0.01)15.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)45.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (0.10299999999999 0.1)34.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (0.108 0.11)71.46% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 55.7%
    Millonarios 21.56%
    Draw 22.73%
BolivarDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.56%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool28207166264067
2Arsenal27159351232854
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest27146744331148
4Manchester CityMan City27145853371647
5Chelsea27137752361646
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
7Bournemouth27127845321343
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton27111064439543
9Fulham2711974036442
10Aston Villa2811984045-542
11Brentford27115114843538
12Crystal Palace279993533236
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs271031453391433
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2796123339-633
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
16Everton2771193034-432
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2764173756-1922
18Ipswich TownIpswich2738162657-3117
19Leicester CityLeicester2745182561-3617
20Southampton2723221965-469


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!