
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
| 81.39% ( | 11.6% ( | 7.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75% ( | 25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.08% ( | 44.92% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.39% ( | 4.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 81.21% ( | 18.79% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( | 43.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.68% ( | 79.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
| 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 3-1 @ 8.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 4-0 @ 7.41% ( 4-1 @ 6.25% ( 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 5-0 @ 4.56% ( 5-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 4-2 @ 2.63% ( 6-0 @ 2.34% ( 6-1 @ 1.97% ( 5-2 @ 1.62% ( 7-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 5.14% Total : 81.39% | 1-1 @ 5.15% ( 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0-0 @ 1.98% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.6% | 1-2 @ 2.17% ( 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
