Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.87%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.15% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
