Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
