Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Valencia | 
| 34.49% | 29.72% | 35.79% | 
| Both teams to score 42.87% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 35.77% | 64.23% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.65% | 83.35% | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.03% | 34.96% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.29% | 71.71% | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.91% | 34.09% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.23% | 70.77% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Getafe | Draw | Valencia | 
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.18% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.91% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.71% | 0-1 @ 12.82% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.78% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 7 | 38 | 59 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 17 | 29 | 51 | 
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 43 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 41 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 37 | 
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 34 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 32 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 | 
| 9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 31 | 
| 10 | Osasuna | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 | 
| 11 | GironaGirona | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 27 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 | 
| 13 | Espanyol | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 24 | 
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 | 
| 15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 24 | 
| 16 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 | 
| 17 | Almeria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 22 | 
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 22 | 
| 19 | Valencia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 20 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 9 | 
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