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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Anfield
Aston Villa logo
Liverpool
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Salah (67' pen.)
van Dijk (13')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nakamba (19'), Watkins (24')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.

We said: Liverpool 3-1 Aston Villa

Gerrard is yet to completely shore up this Villa defence, and a first-choice Liverpool XI - many of whom are well-rested - will likely give the visitors a harsh dose of reality on Saturday. There can be no room for sentimentality upon Gerrard's return to Anfield, but his side are highly unlikely to compete with a near full-strength Liverpool team away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawAston Villa
72.4%17%10.6%
Both teams to score 48.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88%40.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51%62.49%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.28%9.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.63%32.36%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.63%46.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.99%82.01%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 72.39%
    Aston Villa 10.6%
    Draw 17%
LiverpoolDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 12.24%
1-0 @ 10.5%
3-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 5.55%
4-1 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.81%
5-0 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.64%
6-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 72.39%
1-1 @ 8.07%
0-0 @ 4.51%
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17%
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 3.1%
0-2 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 10.6%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Aston Villa

Liverpool
82.6%
Draw
7.1%
Aston Villa
10.3%
282
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
gameweek 31
Liverpool
2-1
Aston Villa
Salah (57'), Alexander-Arnold (90+1')
Milner (65'), Robertson (74')
Watkins (43')
Konsa (25'), Luiz (49'), Targett (73'), Watkins (85')
Jan 8, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
1-4
Liverpool
Barry (41')
Mane (4', 63'), Wijnaldum (60'), Salah (65')
Jones (44')
Oct 4, 2020 7.15pm
gameweek 4
Aston Villa
7-2
Liverpool
Watkins (4', 22', 39'), McGinn (35'), Barkley (55'), Grealish (66', 75')
Luiz (46'), Nakamba (90+2')
Salah (33', 60')
van Dijk (38')
Dec 17, 2019 7.45pm
Build-up
Rangers manager Steven Gerrard pictured on August 3, 2021
When will Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard make Anfield return?
Steven Gerrard was appointed as the new Aston Villa head coach on Thursday morning, and the Liverpool legend will not have to wait long to return to his former club.
Nov 11, 12:22
Roberto Firmino walks off injured for Liverpool in November 2021
Liverpool team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Aston Villa
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.
Dec 8, 10:45
Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on December 1, 2021
How Liverpool could line up against Aston Villa
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Dec 9, 11:00
Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their third goal on December 1, 2021
Mohamed Salah's record vs. Aston Villa
Ahead of Liverpool's Premier League clash with Aston Villa on Saturday, Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at Mohamed Salah's record against the Villans.
Dec 9, 14:40
Roberto Firmino walks off injured for Liverpool in November 2021
Roberto Firmino returns to Liverpool training ahead of Aston Villa clash
Roberto Firmino is one of three Liverpool first-team players to return to training ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa at Anfield.
Dec 9, 23:08
Steven Gerrard celebrating Aston Villa's win over Crystal Palace on November 27, 2021
Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard: 'Anfield return brings a smile to my face'
Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard admits that he has got "a smile on his face" ahead of taking on Liverpool at Anfield on Saturday afternoon.
Dec 10, 10:59
Diogo Jota celebrates scoring for Liverpool against Brentford in the Premier League on September 25, 2021
Liverpool's Diogo Jota emerges as doubt for Aston Villa clash
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp confirms that Diogo Jota is a doubt for the visit of Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday.
Dec 10, 13:48
Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on December 1, 2021
Liverpool aiming to equal 34-year-old record against Aston Villa
Liverpool will aim to win a top-flight game by at least four goals for the third time on the bounce - equalling a 34-year-old record - when Aston Villa visit Anfield.
Dec 10, 14:32
Content continues below the video

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Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea351110143641-543
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14Bournemouth37116203770-3339
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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