Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lille had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
