Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
