Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
