Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.