Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.51%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.