Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.