Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.