Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Finn Harps.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: St Patrick's vs. UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Sligo vs. Finn Harps
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 53.19% | 25.67% | 21.13% |
| Both teams to score 45.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
