Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.