Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
