Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
