Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
