Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.