Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
