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Atlanta United
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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Austin
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Obrian (81'), Biro (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crooks (48'), Goncalves (65' pen.)
Mastroeni (0'), Glad (59'), Chang (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 0-1 Houston
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-3 Portland
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-3 Real Salt Lake

Despite their recent away struggles, Salt Lake's attacking prowess, coupled with Austin's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests they will find success in front of goal. Given the stakes of the match and Salt Lake's current form, they are likely to capitalise on Austin's difficulties and come away with a decisive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
41.35% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 23.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 35.61% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)36.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)58.38% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.72% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)53.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 41.35%
    Real Salt Lake 35.61%
    Draw 23.03%
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 41.35%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Austin vs Salt Lake

Austin FC
Draw
Real Salt Lake
Austin FC
8.3%
Draw
0.0%
Real Salt Lake
91.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
5-1
Austin
Arango (16', 45+5', 71' pen.), Julio (24', 31')
Palacio (82'), Vera (84')
Ring (90+2' pen.)
Pereira (45+1'), Ring (54'), Biro (82')
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Salt Lake
Cascante (90+2')
Rigoni (43'), Urruti (62'), Gallagher (64')
Rubin (15', 81')
Davis (7'), Glad (34'), Loffelsend (66')
Mar 12, 2023 2.30am
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
First Round
Austin
2-2
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 2-2 | Austin win 3-1 on penalties)
Driussi (31', 90+4' pen.)
Cordova (3', 15')
Sep 15, 2022 2.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati148242019126
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471725-813
14DC United133461325-1213
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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