

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 41.35% ( | 23.03% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( | 36.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.62% ( | 58.38% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( | 18.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.99% ( | 49% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( | 20.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.67% ( | 53.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
