Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Penarol

Wanderers
0 - 2
Penarol


Rolon (4'), Alejandro Acosta Fernandez (17'), Silveira (17'), Garcia (34'), Lima (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batista (10'), Fernandez (18')
Perez (25')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Liverpool
Saturday, November 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
26.29% (-0.128 -0.13)27.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)46.63% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)57.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)78.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)37.67% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)74.45% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.096999999999994 0.1)24.74% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.136 0.14)59.29% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 26.29%
    Penarol 46.63%
    Draw 27.07%
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.29%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.63%

Head to Head
Jun 8, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wanderers
2-0
Penarol
Morales (16'), Rolon (50' pen.)
Rolon (50'), Otormin (80'), Freitas (80')

Rodriguez (19'), Coelho (28')
Olivera (88')
May 11, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 12
Penarol
1-0
Wanderers
Fernandez (79' pen.)
Fernandez (90+4'), Acosta (90+9')

Bontempo (19'), Rolon (31'), Alberti (78'), Morales (90+9')
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Wanderers
0-0
Penarol
Suarez (52'), Figueredo (59')
Homenchenko (80')
Jun 24, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 3
Wanderers
0-0
Penarol
Camargo (42'), Figueredo (61'), Risso (68'), Fonseca (71')
Menosse (76'), Sanchez (90+1'), Homenchenko (90+4')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Penarol
1-1
Wanderers
Rodriguez (15' pen.)
Hernandez (26'), Menosse (71'), Arezo (90+5')
Fonseca (68')
Fonseca (36'), Cerro (57'), Fonseca (71')
Cerro (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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