Major League Soccer

Jul 7, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Salt Lake
vs.
Atlanta

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Houston
Thursday, July 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 4 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We say: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Atlanta United

While Atlanta seem to have a new lease of life under their manager, Salt Lake are one of the best performing teams in MLS this year and have been particularly strong at home. The hosts won this fixture the last time they were at home, and we think they will edge it again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 21.92% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Atlanta United
56.54% ( -2.88)	21.53% ( 0.79)	21.92% ( 2.09)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.36% (

-0.83)

38.64% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.06% (

-0.88)

60.94% (

0.87)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

-1.12)

13.55% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.35% (

-2.28)

40.64% (

2.27)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

1.47)

31.02% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

1.69)

67.32% (

-1.7)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 56.55%

Atlanta United 21.92%

Draw 21.53%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.55%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.92%