

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen's Park in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 48.85% ( | 24.32% ( | 26.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( | 46.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( | 68.7% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.33% ( | 50.67% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( | 31.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.47% ( | 67.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
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