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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (90+2'), Bucha (89'), Acosta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table and that is something that could end up being reflected in the match this weekend. Cincinnati has struggled in recent weeks and that is something they need to turn around as soon as possible, but Atlanta's strengths could lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
47.65% (-1.912 -1.91) 23.47% (0.535 0.54) 28.88% (1.377 1.38)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-1.552 -1.55)41.17% (1.554 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-1.599 -1.6)63.57% (1.599 1.6)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-1.299 -1.3)17.51% (1.299 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-2.316 -2.32)48.02% (2.317 2.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.155 0.16)27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.2 0.2)62.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 47.65%
    FC Cincinnati 28.88%
    Draw 23.46%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.452 0.45)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.312 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati148242019126
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471725-813
14DC United133461325-1213
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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