Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
2 - 2
Nacional

Veron (45'), Bueno (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Monzeglio (26'), Rodriguez (52')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Fenix 3-0 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
26.2% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)27.75% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)46.04% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.01% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (0.129 0.13)60.07% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.097999999999999 0.1)80.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)39.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.012 0.01)75.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (0.11799999999999 0.12)26.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (0.159 0.16)61.17% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 26.2%
    Nacional 46.04%
    Draw 27.75%
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.2%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 13.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 46.04%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Racing
Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Alaniz (72')
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Nacional
3-0
Racing
Vina (8'), Vecino (78', 80')
Carvalho (35'), Garcia (50'), Zunino (64'), Carballo (91')
Mar 2, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
1-1
Nacional
Sosa (77')
Rodriguez (65'), Arismendi (90')
Ocampo (87')
Cotugno (53'), Pereira (60')
Sep 1, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Racing
Garcia (52')
Rolin (89'), Oliva (94')

Ramos (76'), Malan (82'), Lacoste (95')
May 31, 2018 12am
Nacional
5-0
Racing
Erramuspe (7'), Bergessio (22'), Aguiar (43'), Coelho (74'), Viudez (82')
Bergessio (28'), Zunino (85')

Lacoste (28'), Romero (38')
Romero (45'), Lacoste (63')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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