Chinese Super League | Gameweek 27
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
8 - 1
Changchun

Cao (8'), Liangming (25'), Abreu (33' pen., 41', 50' pen.), Hao (72'), Ziming (89', 90+4')
Soares (14')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Beric (44')
Rosic (13'), Mincheng (17'), Abdugheni (71')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Beijing Guoan
Friday, September 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 3-4 Shanghai Port
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
65.49% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)18.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01)16.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.81% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)32.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.22% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)53.78% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.76% (-0.012 -0.01)9.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.76% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)31.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.87% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 65.49%
    Changchun Yatai 16.23%
    Draw 18.28%
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 65.49%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.28%
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 16.23%

Head to Head
May 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 12
Changchun
3-2
Beijing Guoan
Serginho (4'), Guilherme (67'), Zulj (90+9' pen.)
Guilherme (74')
Abreu (30', 90+3')
Liangming (76'), Yennaris (80'), Wang (90+3')
Sep 22, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 26
Changchun
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Zulj (34')
Zhang (12'), Teng (17'), Mincheng (90+2')
Abreu (13')
Soares (13'), Wang (47'), Abreu (90'), Naibijiang (90+9')
Soares (0')
Jun 2, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 11
Beijing Guoan
4-3
Changchun
Souza (29', 41'), Yang (66'), Kang (87')
Dabao (90+6')
Leonardo (22', 49'), Long (65')
Zulj (75'), Wu (90+4')
Dec 15, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Changchun
Ziming (31', 51'), Zhang (63' pen.)
Oct 24, 2022 8.30am
Gameweek 19
Changchun
0-1
Beijing Guoan
Zhang (35')